you're reading...
Elections 2010, Governor General 2010

Illinois Elections 2010: Despite Visits by Barack, Michelle Obama, Likely Illinois Democratic Turnout Stagnates, Poll Data Says

(Chicago, IL) — October 27, 2010. Further depressing news is rolling in for Illinois Democratic candidates–likely Democratic voter turnout has stagnated, according to a new review of poll data.

Despite recent and repeat visits by President Barack Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama to Illinois to “fire up” Illinois Democratic voters, rank-and-file Democrats have been unmoved by the first couple’s efforts and other rallies to boost the base.

Unlike West Virginia and Pennsylvania Democrats, Illinois Democratic interest to vote on November 2 has not budged since August, according to a new poll data analysis by Public Policy Polling:

One of the biggest hopes for Democrats heading toward election day has been that the party’s voters will get more engaged as the election comes closer, helping to mitigate its losses. A PPP  analysis of 9 states where we’ve polled in October and also conducted a survey in August or September finds that the likely electorate for this fall is trending more Democratic- but not nearly to the extent the party needs.

The likely electorate in Illinois in August was Obama +9 and when we polled there last weekend it was still Obama +9. Usually for a Republican to win in a blue state like Illinois they would need a massive advantage with independents and to win over a fair number of Democrats. Mark Kirk and Bill Brady are doing neither of those things but still in a position to win because of what’s likely to be a massive drop in Democratic turnout in the state.

Former President Bill Clinton swooped into Illinois this week for a 1,000-plus rally at a Chicago hotel and President Obama is expected here this weekend for a major rally to goose Democrats.

Unless these last minute efforts by Clinton and Obama finally mobilize Illinois Democrats, Quinn and Giannoulias will be facing cooked gooses.

Stay tuned.

About David Ormsby

David, a public relations consultant and Huffington Post blogger, is an ex-Press Secretary of the Illinois Democratic Party.


No comments yet.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

Submit your email address and be among the first to receive our posts by e-mail as soon as they are published. It's free.

David Ormsby, Editor

RSS Gov. Pat Quinn

  • An error has occurred; the feed is probably down. Try again later.
%d bloggers like this: